The Cricket Badger, James Buttler, is having a very profitable IPL 2017 so far showing a profit of 44.56% on a level stake. He’s looking to David Warner and SRH today…
In a tournament where picking the winners has been difficult as every team is having good and bad days, the Cricket Badger has consistently found the value in the betting markets.
So far in IPL 2017 the Badger has staked 74.50pts and returned 107.70pts for a level recommended stakes profit of 44.56%.
Here are his picks for Monday’s matches in the Indian Premier League.
All odds quoted for this game are with williamhill.com.
Delhi Daredevils have been the enigma of IPL 2017 so far. Initially they seemed well off the pace, but have put in two excellent shifts and now look like playoff contenders. They play a KKR side that have been just as impressive.
I’m backing KKR to do the business today, but have found the best way to make money in this tournament is to steer clear of the headline markets and play the player markets instead.
1pt Gautam Gambhir Top Kolkata Bat & Kolkata to win @ 5/1 (LOST)
1pt Sanju Samson to be top Delhi Batsman at 11/4 (WON)
2pts Chris Morris to be top DD Bowler at 10/3 (LOST)
(This part of this article was originally written by Cricket Badger for Betfair and appeared on betting.betfair. All prices quoted are available on betfair.com.)
The defending champions had picked up where they’d left off, but after two early wins have suffered defeats to Mumbai and KKR to bring them back down to earth. While captain David Warner takes the headlines for his prolific run scoring, it is Sunrisers’ bowling attack that is just as vital to their hopes.
Bhuvneshwar Kumar (10) has the Purple Cap at the time of writing for taking most wickets in IPL 2017 and his teammate Rashid Khan is not far behind on 7. Khan will feature in one of the key battles, his leg-spin against the batting of Glenn Maxwell. Maxwell perishes to leg-spin more than any other bowling, but he also gets most runs against it. Don’t be surprised to see Khan into the attack when Maxi arrives at the crease.
Kings XI Punjab
KXIP were my fancies to win this IPL, but I’m beginning to doubt that pick. When things are going well, as they were for KXIP when they’d won their first two matches, the world appears rosy. Scroll on two games, and two poor defeats, and the rose is wilting.
Glenn Maxwell was hugely impressive as skipper in the two early wins, but it is now that his stewardship will be tested. In a tournament as long as the IPL a team can afford the odd wobble, but the pressure is now on Maxwell to steady the ship otherwise my faith and their season may be short lived.
KXIP have yet to settle on their best XI and their top order has changed every match so far. In the last game, a 51-run defeat to Delhi Daredevils on Saturday, Maxwell batted at No6. They were chasing 189 to win and their best batsman was held back until the 10th over. Muddled thinking doesn’t win trophies.
SRH have won their last three matches at the Rajiv Gandhi International Cricket Stadium in Hyderabad. The last five first inning scores, with the winning team in brackets, at the ground are 135/7(2), 207/4(1), 194/5(1), 118/8(2) and 142/7(2). No real trend there, but it would seem the team batting first requires upwards of around 160 to be competitive.
This has been one of the most open IPLs. Every team has been defeated, but they’ve all won at least one game too. It’s early days but you could make a plausible argument for any of the eight sides to lift the trophy. It’s made calling matches tough, but I think home advantage would lean me towards SRH in this one at 1.81. SRH have won their two home matches and lost both away. Their home form is key to their chances of retaining the title.
This is one of the easiest markets to bet on in IPL 2017. The name is David Warner, he’s SRH’s best batsman and he’s top scored in the last three Sunrisers’ matches, and five of their last six. But, because of all that, the price on Warner to top score again is now 7/4, is getting smaller every game. That’a a very skinny price in a T20 market.
In a bid to get a bit more value I’d consider Moises Henriques at 4/1. The Indian pair of Shikhar Dhawan and Yuvraj Singh have serious merits in this market and, if you fancied a nibble on something bigger, Deepak Hooda is too big at 9/1.
Maxwell, at 193.10, boasts the best strike-rate in the tournament. Back the ‘Big Show’ at 7/2 and he won’t need to stay in long to give you a chance. Elsewhere, Hashim Amla at 13/5 is a class player and Eoin Morgan played the last game and offers another viable option at 9/2.
David Miller has looked scratchy so far and doesn’t inspire confidence, but at the same price of 5/1 Wriddhiman Saha is my bet. He’s shown enough to suggest he can enjoy this competition.
Bhuvneshwar Kumar has the Purple Cap and is looking good to retain it. He was the leading wicket-taker in IPL 2016 and at 4/1 provides great value in this market. Rashid Khan is his main rival at 9/4.
As the editor of Cricket Badger he is intent on building the website to give quality coverage of the domestic game around the world.
James was the full-time Media Manager at Yorkshire County Cricket Club between 2007 and 2010.
James is a published author and a writer/video contributor to many cricket publications.
He's unsurprisingly a complete cricket badger!